Men's basketball tournament: Odds, spread totals and BPI projections for Sunday

The 2026 men's college basketball tournament bracketnarrowed to 24 teams after Saturday's action and 16 will remain at the end of Sunday's play.

Arizonawill play Utah Statein a game that may determine who enters next week's action as the tournament favorite. Dukeentered the tournament as such before a rough start to its first game against 16-seed Sienna, and Michiganenters today as the new favorite having already secured its spot in the round of 16 with a resounding victory over 8-seeded Saint Louis.Florida, who has had the longest championship odds of any of the No. 1 seeds at 8-1, and will play theHawkeyes.

The action begins at 12:10 p.m. withPurdueand Miami. Here are the betting lines and BPI projections for all eight games.

MORE: Odds for every team to advance, win championship| Second Chance bracket

Odds by DraftKings Sportsbookas of latest time stamp and are subject to change.

(7) Miami Hurricanes

(2) Purdue Boilermakers -7.5

St. Louis, 12:10 p.m. ET

Money line:

Miami Hurricanes +270

Purdue Boilermakers -340

Total: 147.5

Miami: 25-8, 13-5 in ACC play

Purdue: 26-8, 13-7 in Big Ten play

BPI projection: Purdue Boilermakers by 7.9 points, straight up 78% of the time

(7) Kentucky Wildcats

(2) Iowa State Cyclones -4.5

St. Louis, 2:45 p.m. ET

Money line:

Kentucky Wildcats +190

Iowa State Cyclones -230

Total: 145.5

Kentucky: 21-13, 10-8 in SEC play

Iowa State: 27-7, 12-6 in Big 12 play

BPI projection: Iowa State Cyclones by 5.5 points, straight up 71% of the time

(5) St. John's Red Storm -3.5

(4) Kansas Jayhawks

San Diego, 5:15 p.m. ET

Money line:

St. John's Red Storm -166

Kansas Jayhawks +140

Total: 144.5

St. John's: 28-6, 18-2 in Big East play

Kansas: 23-10, 12-6 in Big 12 play

BPI projection: St. John's Red Storm by 1.8 points, straight up 57% of the time

(6) Tennessee Volunteers -1.5

(3) Virginia Cavaliers

Philadelphia, 6:10 p.m. ET

Money line:

Tennessee Volunteers -118

Virginia Cavaliers -102

Total: 137.5

Tennessee: 22-11, 11-7 in SEC play

Virginia: 29-5, 15-3 in ACC play

BPI projection: Tennessee Volunteers by 2.7 points, straight up 61% of the time

(9) Iowa Hawkeyes

(1) Florida Gators -10.5

Tampa, Florida, 7:10 p.m. ET

Money line:

Iowa Hawkeyes +440

Florida Gators -600

Total: 145.5

Iowa: 21-12, 10-10 in Big Ten play

Florida: 26-7, 16-2 in SEC play

BPI projection: Florida Gators by 8.1 points, straight up 79% of the time

(9) Utah State Aggies

(1) Arizona Wildcats -11.5

San Diego, 7:50 p.m. ET

Money line:

Utah State Aggies +550

Arizona Wildcats -800

Total: 154.5

Utah State: 28-6, 15-5 in MW play

Arizona: 32-2, 16-2 in Big 12 play

BPI projection: Arizona Wildcats by 9.9 points, straight up 83% of the time

(7) UCLA Bruins

(2) UConn Huskies -4.5

Philadelphia, 8:45 p.m. ET

Money line:

UCLA Bruins +164

UConn Huskies -198

Total: 137.5

UCLA: 23-11, 13-7 in Big Ten play

Uconn: 29-5, 17-3 in Big East play

BPI projection: UConn Huskies by 4.3 points, straight up 67% of the time

(5) Texas Tech Red Raiders -1.5

(4) Alabama Crimson Tide

Tampa, Florida, 9:45 p.m. ET

Money line:

Texas Tech Red Raiders -118

Alabama Crimson Tide -102

Total: 164.5

Texas Tech: 22-10, 12-6 in Big 12 play

Alabama: 23-9, 13-5 in SEC play

BPI projection: Alabama Crimson Tide by 1 points, straight up 54% of the time

The College Basketball Power Index (BPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of performance going forward. BPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Strength of Record (SOR) is a measure of team accomplishment based on how difficult a team's W-L record is to achieve. Game predictions account for opponent strength, pace of play, site, travel distance, day's rest and altitude, and are used to simulate the season 10,000 times to produce season projections. Numbers update daily. ESPN Men's College Basketball Tournament BPI >>