With projections made in most states across the country, ABC News has projected that former President Donald Trump will win the high-stakes presidential match-up against Vice President Kamala Harris. Early Wednesday morning, Trump secured enough Electoral College votes to set himself up for a second presidency, including by flipping the key swing states of Georgia, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.
Beyond the presidential race, voters also hit the polls around the country Tuesday and cast ballots to decide who controls Congress, state and local governments. Reporters from 538 and ABC News followed along every step of the way with live updates, analysis and commentary on the results. Follow our election coverage in full below.
Vice President Kamala Harris will speak today at 4 p.m. ET from Howard University in Washington, D.C., following her election loss.
See how the balance of power is playing out as election results come in:
MORE | 2024 election: Track electoral vote count and results map for the presidential election
ABC News has projected that Trump will carry Georgia and its 16 electoral votes. In 2020, Georgia was the closest state in the country, going for Biden by just 0.24 points. This time around, with 97 percent of the expected vote reporting, Trump leads by 2.3 points over Harris, 50.7% to 48.4%. The Georgia win puts Trump at 246 electoral votes, with just 24 more needed to win.
Former President Donald Trump has left Mar-a-Lago and is on his way to the Palm Beach County Convention Center, where a watch party is being held.
Earlier in the evening, Elon Musk tweeted a photo from Mar-a-Lago, showing the former president huddled with the Tesla CEO and UFC CEO Dana White.
ABC News has projected Trump will carry the state of North Carolina and its 16 Electoral College votes. Although Harris was not likely to carry that state anyway, the projections still hurts her; as you can see using our handy-dandy election simulator, when we restrict the set of possible Electoral College outcomes to ones that include a Trump win in North Carolina and Florida, Harris loses ground probabilistically because those outcomes are likelier to occur in simulations with more Republican victories than not.
Internally here at 538, we have also been running a version of this model that updates itself with a likely win in Georgia, based on how few votes are left there, as well as a tight race in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, based on the lagging Democratic turnout there. That model assigns a 6-in-100 chance of Harris winning the majority of Electoral College votes after everything is said and done.
To be clear: That 6 percent chance is not nothing. It's possible that our models are extrapolating incorrectly about outstanding urban votes in Wisconsin, for example, where about 24% of the vote is left to be counted, or inferring incorrectly the result in Nevada, where no votes have been counted yet. But those states don't have enough votes to put Harris over the top if she loses Pennsylvania, anyway. There, 84% of the vote has been counted, and Harris trails Trump by 3 percentage points.
The ABC News Decision Desk has projected Kamala Harris will win New Mexico's 5 Electoral College votes.
